Talarico leads Paxton by four points in Texas Senate poll

Texas state Rep. James Talarico (D) is leading the race for a Texas Senate seat by a four‑point margin over incumbent Attorney General Ken Paxton (R), according to a new poll released Friday. The Texas Pulse/Texas A&M Bush School survey found that 47 percent of likely voters plan to back Talarico, while 43 percent favor Paxton, leaving a 4‑point gap in the race.

The poll, which surveyed a representative sample of Texas voters, highlights the competitiveness of the Senate contest, with both candidates maintaining strong support in their respective bases. Talarico, a long‑time state legislator, has campaigned on expanding access to public services and strengthening state infrastructure, whereas Paxton has emphasized his record on law enforcement and conservative fiscal policies. The 4‑point lead reflects a modest advantage for Talarico, but the margin remains within the range of typical polling error.

As the election approaches, the race is likely to remain a focal point of state politics. Both candidates are expected to intensify outreach efforts in the coming weeks, and the final outcome will hinge on voter turnout in the November election. The poll underscores the importance of the Senate seat in shaping Texas’ legislative agenda for the next term.