Met Office predicts wetter, warmer UK autumn due to El Niño

The Met Office has issued a new autumn outlook for the United Kingdom, forecasting that the season will be warmer and wetter than usual. The agency’s latest models project average temperatures across the country to be 1‑2 °C above the long‑term mean for September, October, and November.

Rainfall is expected to follow a similar trend, with estimates showing 10‑20 % more precipitation than the historical average for the same period. The increased moisture, combined with the higher temperatures, could raise the risk of flooding in low‑lying areas and affect agricultural planning. The forecast is based on the most recent data from the Met Office’s climate monitoring network and is intended to aid local authorities and businesses in preparing for the coming months.

These projections highlight the continued variability of the UK’s climate and underscore the importance of adaptive measures for water management, agriculture, and infrastructure. The Met Office will update the outlook as new data become available.