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DeepMind AI predicts cyclones three days in advance

New Scientist1 min read162 words
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DeepMind has unveiled an artificial‑intelligence model that can forecast the trajectory and intensity of tropical cyclones up to three days in advance, achieving a level of precision previously attainable only after a 24‑hour lead time. The system, built on a deep‑learning architecture trained on decades of satellite imagery, atmospheric measurements and historical storm data, generates probabilistic predictions that align closely with observed outcomes, reducing the average positional error by roughly 30 percent compared with the best operational models in use today.

The breakthrough, demonstrated through retrospective tests on recent Atlantic and Pacific storms, suggests that earlier, more reliable warnings could give emergency managers and affected communities additional time to prepare evacuation plans, secure infrastructure and allocate resources. DeepMind researchers plan to collaborate with meteorological agencies to integrate the model into existing forecasting pipelines, with field trials slated for the upcoming hurricane season. If validated in real‑time operations, the technology could mark a significant step forward in climate risk mitigation and disaster response.

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