AfD projected to win 44.5% in eastern German state election

Germany’s Alternative for Germany (AfD) party is projected to secure 44.5 % of the vote in the upcoming election, a share that party officials have described as a “historic result.” The figure places the AfD well ahead of the centre‑right Christian Democratic Union (CDU), which is forecast to receive 18.5 % of the vote, according to the latest poll released by [polling institute]. The survey, conducted among a representative sample of eligible voters, reflects a substantial lead for the AfD over its traditional rivals.

The projected outcome would mark the AfD’s strongest performance in a national election, surpassing its previous high of roughly 27 % in the 2021 federal vote. Analysts note that such a result could reshape Germany’s parliamentary composition, forcing the CDU and other mainstream parties to reconsider coalition options and legislative strategies. While the AfD has celebrated the numbers, opposition parties have called for a thorough examination of the underlying voter shift. The final vote count, due later this month, will determine whether the projected figures translate into a decisive parliamentary presence for the far‑right party.